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REPRINTED
(1992, Vol. 47, No. 1-2)
AN EARTHQUAKE RISK
ANALYSIS OF METRO MANILA
FROM A FOUNDATION ENGINEERING PERSPECTIVE
Arthur Saldivar-Sali, PhD, MSc, DIC, FGS
Consulting Engineering Geologist
(1978 TOYM for Science and Geology)
C/o Geotecnica House
23 Avelino Cor., Jocson Sts.,
Loyola Heights, Quezon City
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ABSTRACT |
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The dire consequences of an earthquake
that will be generated by a movement of
the Marikina Fault have been the focus
of intense discussions for the past few
weeks. The fact of the matter is,
although Manila had been severely
damaged by earthquakes over the past
several hundred years, none of these had
been traced to the Marikina Fault,
Instead, in historical times, most of
these have emanated from the Philippine
Fault, an active earth rupture nearly
100 kilometers east of Metro Manila.
Thus, even without considering the
Marikina Fault, Metro Manila is
vulnerable to high intensity
earthquakes. However, based on recent
experience and extensive studies of
subsurface geology, it is now also
recognized that not all parts of Metro
Manila are equally susceptible. Many
areas are relatively low risk zones
while some are of very high risk.
Therefore, as the urban center where the
country’s most important infrastructures
are located, this metropolis needs a
detailed geological study to delineate
high and low seismic risk areas from a
foundation engineering perspective.
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